Methodology

How Coverage Companion actually works

We believe you deserve to understand the tools you use. This page explains every component of Coverage Companion — from the AI chat to the cost simulation model to the scoring formula and the behavioral insights.

01

The Companion Chat

The chat assistant is powered by Claude by Anthropic, a large language model. It's designed for educational conversations about health insurance concepts — not to give medical, legal, or financial advice.

When you chat, Coverage Companion also runs preference extraction in the background. It pattern-matches your natural language for signals about your risk tolerance, expected usage, and specific care needs — then surfaces those as profile chips you can apply to the Confidence Engine.

Detected signals → risk: averse | balanced | seeking
                  usage: low | medium | high
                  budget: premium | balanced | oop
                  needs: [mental_health, prescriptions, specialist, ...]

Constraints: The chat provides educational guidance only. It will not recommend a specific plan, diagnose conditions, or advise on medical treatment. Always verify coverage details with your insurer or HR.

02

The OOP Simulation Model

The engine simulates your estimated annual out-of-pocket costs under three utilization scenarios — low, medium, and high — using benchmark service quantities and nationally representative allowed amounts.

For each service in each scenario:
  deductible_applied = min(service_cost, remaining_deductible)
  coinsurance_owed   = (service_cost − deductible_applied) × coinsurance%
  copay_owed         = min(coinsurance_owed, copay × quantity)
  total              = premium + Σ copay_owed, capped at OOP max

Utilization benchmarks are drawn from MEPS (Medical Expenditure Panel Survey) data and CMS average allowed amounts by service type:

PCP visit
Low: Med: High:
Specialist
Low: Med: High:
Rx (generic)
Low: Med: High: 12×
Imaging
Low: Med: High:
ER visit
Low: Med: 0.3×High:
Surgery
Low: Med: 0.05×High: 0.3×
03

The Scoring Model

Each plan receives a Confidence Score (0–100) composed of four sub-scores, each weighted by your profile. The weights shift based on your budget priority and risk tolerance.

ScoreFull nameFormulaWhat it captures
CESCost Efficiency Score100 × (worst − plan) / (worst − best)How cost-efficient this plan is relative to the others you entered
RPSRisk Protection Score100 × (1 − OOP_max / $9,450)How much financial downside protection the plan offers
PSPredictability Score100 × (1 − std_dev / $4,000)How consistent costs are across the three usage scenarios
NMSNeeds Match ScoreΣ service_points / max_points × 100How well the plan's copay/coverage structure fits your selected care needs
Final score = w_CES × CES + w_RPS × RPS + w_PS × PS + w_NMS × NMS

Default weights (balanced profile):
  CES: 0.35   RPS: 0.30   PS: 0.20   NMS: 0.15

Weights shift when budget = "low premium" → CES ↑
                 or risk   = "averse"      → RPS ↑, PS ↑
04

Behavioral Insights

Health insurance decisions are vulnerable to predictable cognitive biases. The engine detects four common patterns and surfaces a nudge when it spots one:

BiasDetectionNudge approach
Loss aversionLow-risk profile + high OOP delta between plansQuantify the worst-case scenario explicitly
Simplicity preferenceUser picks plan with fewest fields or lowest copayShow total annual cost including premium, not just copay
Overconfidence in healthLow usage + low risk + HDHP scores bestRemind that medium-usage scenario is statistically most likely
Anchoring on premiumBudget = "low premium" but OOP delta is largeShow premium savings vs. expected OOP increase side by side

⚠️ Educational simulation — not financial advice

Coverage Companion is an educational tool. The cost simulations use benchmark utilization data — not your actual claims history. Scores reflect relative plan performance under assumed scenarios and should not be the sole basis for a coverage decision. Actual costs will differ based on your providers, claims history, and plan-specific rules. Always verify details with your insurer or a licensed benefits advisor.